First as always, let me welcome you to PPB's coverage of the 2022-2023 college basketball season. It's another chance to accomplish our goal of perfectly predicting a NCAA bracket. Second, I'm going to start this season in the same fashion as past seasons: A review of the lessons learned followed by a grading section. Let's get started!
Mar 13, 2022
2022 NCAA Tournament - FULL ANALYSIS
It's finally here. It seems like yesterday I was putting out the introductory article yet here we are. I'm going to post everything in this article, so all the information will be in one spot. I'll also make the section headings larger than normal so you can find what you're looking for while scrolling.
Mar 8, 2022
Conference-Based OSUS Model
With the conference regular season coming to a close, what a 'perfect' time to post a study of conference regular season results and how they foretell outcomes in the NCAA tournament. I personally believe that the conference regular season is the most important component of a team's resume. It's roughly a ten-week, two-game-per-week gauntlet against the teams with which you are most familiar. A game plan can be put together for any opponent on the schedule, but when you know an opponent inside-and-out, their strengths and weaknesses, their tendencies and values, all from the 1-3 schedule-collisions each and every year, the game plan goes to a deeper level. Surely, the in-depth understanding between conference opponents and the results from their contests should reveal valuable insights into the true quality of those teams, and that's what I hope to extract with this study.
Feb 22, 2022
Another Overseed/Underseed Model
If you are a consistent reader of my work, you may have an inclination that I like Overseed/Underseed models. I believe many upsets are just mis-seedings and mis-evaluations by the Selection Committee. If I can devise models that create alternative methods of evaluating team rankings or even a method that evaluates the "perception of team rankings," then I can find these upsets before they actually become upsets.
Feb 8, 2022
2022 Quality Curve Analysis - February Edition
With our second of three looks at the 2022 QC, there's a lot to uncover, so here's what you can expect:
- How the QC has changed since the JAN QC Analysis
- How the QC compares to its historical counterparts
- The bigger picture on quality in 2022
- My overall thoughts at this point in the season
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)