Jan 4, 2017

2017 Quality Curve - January Edition

Custom has it that you always wish your readers a Happy New Year in your first article of a new year. I'm not going to do that since our New Year begins in November. Instead, I am going to dive into what could be a PPB tradition for the beginning of January: the first Quality Curve analysis of the current season. It seems fitting that we have enough information by this point in the season to examine its current state and what it may hold in store for March.

However, the 2016-17 season presents a brand new caveat: the methodology of the data set (KenPom Ratings) used to make the Quality Curve changed. Instead of blindly pasting the current curve to a historical curve and inferring tournament results from the year-of-best-fit, we first need to determine if the old way of doing things will work with the new data set.